Opens in a new tab

Poll finds Centre-Isamaa coalition is voters’ top choice

Tuesday 3rd November 2026 on 06:01 in Estonia

Estonia, politics, polling

A Centre Party and Isamaa coalition is the most popular option among Estonian voters, with 29% saying they would prefer it if elections were held today, ERR reported, citing a Norstat poll commissioned by the Institute for Societal Research.

Respondents were asked which government coalition they would prefer, based on current party support and the coalitions considered most likely. The results were:

Centre Party and Isamaa: 29%; Isamaa, the Social Democratic Party (SDE) and the Reform Party: 19%; Centre Party, SDE and Reform Party: 9%; Centre Party, SDE and the Conservative People’s Party of Estonia (EKRE): 8%; Isamaa, SDE and EKRE: 4%; Isamaa, EKRE and Reform Party: 1%; Centre Party, EKRE and Reform Party: 1%. Thirty percent said they did not know.

In a poll conducted at the end of September, the most popular option was a coalition of Isamaa, the Centre Party and EKRE, with 25%. That combination was not included among the options in the latest poll because party support had changed.

Preferences varied by party support. Among EKRE supporters, 26% favoured a coalition with the Centre Party and SDE. Isamaa and Centre Party supporters most often chose a coalition between those two parties, at 64% and 62%, respectively. Reform Party supporters most often preferred a coalition with Isamaa and SDE, as did supporters of SDE and Parempoolsed, at 60%, 42% and 30%, respectively.

Asked which parties should definitely not be in government, 42% named the Reform Party, followed by Estonia 200 at 40%, EKRE at 39%, Parempoolsed at 26%, SDE at 21%, the Centre Party at 11% and Isamaa at 9%.

Among EKRE supporters, 82% said the Reform Party should not be in government, as did 69% of Centre Party supporters and 55% of Isamaa supporters. Meanwhile, 82% of Reform Party supporters, 80% of SDE supporters and 71% of Parempoolsed supporters said EKRE should be excluded from government.

The poll was conducted online from October 30 to November 1 among Estonian citizens aged 18 and over. It had 1,000 respondents.

Source 
(via ERR)